CU Events Center · at Colorado
Closing line
COLO -1.5✓ COLO covered by 7.5
COLO -1.5✓ COLO covered by 7.5Closing total163.5Over by 21.5
 PROV | This season | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 2-0 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 0-2 |
| 3-0 | O/U | 2-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PROV 85–85 COLO · ✗ PROV (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROV | 38 | 50 | 88 |
| COLO | 39 | 58 | 97 |
1st half: PROV 38, COLO 39 (COLO by 1). The model had PROV by 0.4 and a total of 79.5 (actual 77).
Team stats
| PROV | COLO | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-65 45% | Field goals | 34-66 52% |
| 6-25 24% | 3-pointers | 6-17 35% |
| 24-31 77% | Free throws | 23-27 85% |
| 32 9 off | Rebounds | 43 12 off |
| 13 | Assists | 18 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 10 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 25 | Fouls | 26 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 54 |
| 25 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| PROV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Edwards G | 34 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 7-16 | 2-6 |
| Corey Floyd Jr. G | 26 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 4-10 | 0-5 |
| Ryan Mela G | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-3 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse F | 23 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaylin Sellers G | 18 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Stefan Vaaks G | 28 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Jamier Jones G | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Cole Hargrove F | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Duncan Powell F | 12 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Daquan Davis G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Nilavan Daniels, Jaylen Harrell, Rich Barron, Jack Williams, Peteris Pinnis
| COLO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrington Hargress G | 34 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 6-12 | 1-3 |
| Sebastian Rancik F | 27 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Elijah Malone C | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 7-10 | 1-2 |
| Felix Kossaras G | 19 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Bangot Dak F | 15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alon Michaeli F | 23 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 7-15 | 1-3 |
| Isaiah Johnson G | 22 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Josiah Sanders G | 19 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jalin Holland G | 14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Ian Inman G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Andrew Crawford, Nick Randall, Jon Mani, Tacko Ifaola, Leonardo Van Elswyk
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPROV -1.5
3 → COLO
CloseCOLO -1.5
3 pts toward COLO
Total
Open162.5
▲ 1
Close163.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
PROV +105 · COLO -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PROV -1.5 · closed COLO -1.5 · moved 3 toward COLOmodel PROV -0.5
model PROV -0.5
Opened 162.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 1 upmodel 170
model 170
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | COLO -1.5 | PROV -0.4 | PROV +1.9 | L COLO covered |
| Total | 163.5 | 169.8 | Over 6.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | PROV 85.1 · COLO 84.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PROV -0.4 | COLO -1.0 |
| 1H total | 79.5 | 77 |
| 1H projected score | PROV 39.9 · COLO 39.5 | PROV 38 · COLO 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROVlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% | 3-0 100% |
| COLOlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 0-2 0% | 2-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Providence
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-0
100% overs · avg +26.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
HC
HCW 89-79
−13.5
8
vs
VT
VTL 101-107
−8.5
11
vs
PENN
PENNW 106-81
+5.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
+15.5
8
vsVT
VTL 101-107
+50.5
11
vsPENN
PENNW 106-81
+14.5
over 3under 0avg +26.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colorado
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
0-2
0% covers · avg −8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +30 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MTST
MTSTW 84-78
−5.5
8
vs
EWU
EWUW 102-97
−11.5
covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
+13.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
+46.5
over 2under 0avg +30 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Providence
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Penn106–81
- Lvs Virginia Tech101–107
- Wvs Holy Cross89–79
3 days since their last game.
Colorado
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs E Washington102–97
- Wvs Montana St84–78
6 days since their last game.