Foster Pavilion · at Baylor
Closing line
BAY -6.5✓ BAY covered by 2.5
BAY -6.5✓ BAY covered by 2.5Closing total156.5Under by 9.5
 WASH | This season | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WASH 75–83 BAY · ✓ BAY (76%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WASH | 32 | 37 | 69 |
| BAY | 38 | 40 | 78 |
1st half: WASH 32, BAY 38 (BAY by 6). The model had BAY by 4.7 and a total of 74.1 (actual 70).
Team stats
| WASH | BAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-68 41% | Field goals | 26-56 46% |
| 3-20 15% | 3-pointers | 6-21 29% |
| 10-15 67% | Free throws | 20-29 69% |
| 42 16 off | Rebounds | 33 7 off |
| 7 | Assists | 12 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 22 | Fouls | 16 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| WASH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Yates III G | 38 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-15 | 1-5 |
| Hannes Steinbach F | 32 | 10 | 15 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Lathan Sommerville C | 26 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| JJ Mandaquit G | 22 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Bryson Tucker F | 21 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Quimari Peterson G | 28 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4-13 | 1-9 |
| Zoom Diallo G | 24 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 6-11 | 0-2 |
| Franck Kepnang C | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jacob Ognacevic, BJ Roy, Christian Nitu, Courtland Muldrew, Jasir Rencher, Mady Traore, Desmond Claude
| BAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obi Agbim G | 35 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1-7 | 0-3 |
| Tounde Yessoufou G | 33 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 4-13 | 1-6 |
| Dan Skillings Jr. G | 28 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-5 |
| Michael Rataj G | 24 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Cameron Carr G | 24 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 4-7 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caden Powell C | 28 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Williams IV G | 22 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 5-8 | 1-1 |
| JJ White G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Maikcol Perez, Mayo Soyoye, Drew Perry, Andre Iguodala II, Juslin Bodo Bodo, Will Kuykendall, James Goodis
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBAY -6.5
ModelBAY -8.0
Model edgeBAY +1.5
W BAY covered
Total
Market156.5
Model158.3
Model edgeOver 1.8
L Under
Projected score
WASH 75.2 · BAY 83.2
WASH 69 · BAY 78
Win probability
BAY 76%
1st half
Spread
BAY -4.7
BAY -6.0
Total
74.1
70 points
Projected score
WASH 34.7 · BAY 39.4
WASH 32 · BAY 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBAY -5.5
1 → BAY
CloseBAY -6.5
1 pt toward BAY
Total
Open155.5
▲ 1
Close156.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
WASH +220 · BAY -270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BAY -5.5 · closed BAY -6.5 · moved 1 toward BAYmodel BAY -8
model BAY -8
Opened 155.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 1 upmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WASHlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
| BAYlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Washington
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
UAPB
UAPBW 94-50
+9.5
6
vs
DEN
DENW 84-70
−13.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-50
−16.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 84-70
+0.5
over 1under 1avg −8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Baylor
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −9.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +22.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs RGV | W 96-81 | -24.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 177 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
−9.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
+22.5
over 1under 0avg +22.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Washington
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Denver84–70
- Wvs AR-Pine Bluff94–50
3 days since their last game.
Baylor
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UT Rio Grande96–81
6 days since their last game.