Mohegan Sun Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
PROV -2.5✓ VT covered by 8.5
PROV -2.5✓ VT covered by 8.5Closing total157.5Over by 50.5
| PROV | This season | VT |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PROV 78–76 VT · ✗ PROV (56%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROV | 46 | 40 | 15 | 101 |
| VT | 40 | 46 | 21 | 107 |
1st half: PROV 46, VT 40 (PROV by 6). The model had PROV by 1.2 and a total of 71.8 (actual 86).
Team stats
| PROV | VT | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-76 45% | Field goals | 40-79 51% |
| 11-33 33% | 3-pointers | 12-28 43% |
| 22-25 88% | Free throws | 15-22 68% |
| 43 12 off | Rebounds | 42 12 off |
| 10 | Assists | 16 |
| 8 | Steals | 10 |
| 6 | Blocks | 7 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 19 | Fouls | 22 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| PROV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin Sellers G | 36 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 9-19 | 4-10 |
| Jason Edwards G | 32 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 10-19 | 2-7 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse F | 30 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Corey Floyd Jr. G | 22 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Duncan Powell F | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Stefan Vaaks G | 25 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 5-13 | 4-11 |
| Ryan Mela G | 22 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Cole Hargrove F | 14 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jamier Jones G | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Daquan Davis G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Peteris Pinnis, Jack Williams, Nilavan Daniels, Jaylen Harrell, Rich Barron
| VT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amani Hansberry F | 39 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 6-15 | 1-5 |
| Tobi Lawal F | 38 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Tyler Johnson G | 37 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Neo Avdalas G | 34 | 33 | 5 | 6 | 13-23 | 5-8 |
| Jailen Bedford G | 33 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 7-11 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Hammond G | 20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3-10 | 0-3 |
| Jaden Schutt G | 15 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-2 |
| Christian Gurdak C | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Izaiah Pasha G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Antonio Dorn C | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Solomon Davis, Shamarius Peterkin, Brett Freeman, Sin'Cere Jones
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVT -1.5
4 → PROV
ClosePROV -2.5
4 pts toward PROV
Total
Open154.5
▲ 3
Close157.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
PROV -140 · VT +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VT -1.5 · closed PROV -2.5 · moved 4 toward PROVmodel PROV -1.5
model PROV -1.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 3 upmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PROV -2.5 | PROV -1.7 | VT +0.8 | W VT covered |
| Total | 157.5 | 153.3 | Under 4.2 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | PROV 77.5 · VT 75.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PROV -1.2 | PROV -6.0 |
| 1H total | 71.8 | 86 |
| 1H projected score | PROV 36.5 · VT 35.3 | PROV 46 · VT 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROVlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
| VTlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Providence
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −13.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +15.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HC | W 89-79 | -23.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
−13.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −13.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
+15.5
over 1under 0avg +15.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Virginia Tech
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +12.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +18.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CHSO | W 98-67 | -18.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCHSO
CHSOW 98-67
+12.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +12.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCHSO
CHSOW 98-67
+18.5
over 1under 0avg +18.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Providence
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Holy Cross89–79
5 days since their last game.
Virginia Tech
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Charleston So98–67
5 days since their last game.