Intuit Dome · Neutral site
Closing line
ARIZ -1.5✓ ARIZ covered by 2.5
Closing total153.5Under by 19.5
| This season | UCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 3-0 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 0-3 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 1-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ARIZ 79–74 UCLA · ✓ ARIZ (67%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ | 28 | 41 | 69 |
| UCLA | 25 | 40 | 65 |
1st half: ARIZ 28, UCLA 25 (ARIZ by 3). The model had ARIZ by 3.2 and a total of 72.0 (actual 53).
Team stats
| ARIZ | UCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-55 47% | Field goals | 25-58 43% |
| 6-19 32% | 3-pointers | 9-17 53% |
| 11-15 73% | Free throws | 6-8 75% |
| 35 11 off | Rebounds | 28 9 off |
| 16 | Assists | 15 |
| 7 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| ARIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Bradley G | 35 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 6-10 | 1-2 |
| Motiejus Krivas C | 34 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Brayden Burries G | 34 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1-9 | 1-6 |
| Koa Peat F | 21 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Ivan Kharchenkov F | 14 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Dell'Orso G | 28 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 6-11 | 4-7 |
| Tobe Awaka F | 25 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Dwayne Aristode F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Bryce James, Mabil Mawut, Sidi Gueye, Sven Djopmo, Jackson Cook, Evan Nelson, Addison Arnold, Jackson Francois
| UCLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent G | 35 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 5-16 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Bilodeau F | 33 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 7-10 | 3-4 |
| Eric Dailey Jr. F | 32 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 5-10 | 3-5 |
| Xavier Booker C | 31 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Skyy Clark G | 28 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-11 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trent Perry G | 18 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Steven Jamerson II F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Williams F | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Jamar Brown G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Markell Alston, Anthony Peoples Jr., Christian Horry, Eric Freeny, Jack Seidler, Evan Manjikian
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketARIZ -1.5
ModelARIZ -4.9
Model edgeARIZ +3.4
W ARIZ covered
Total
Market153.5
Model153.7
Model edgeOver 0.2
L Under
Projected score
ARIZ 79.3 · UCLA 74.4
ARIZ 69 · UCLA 65
Win probability
ARIZ 67%
1st half
Spread
ARIZ -3.2
ARIZ -3.0
Total
72.0
53 points
Projected score
ARIZ 37.6 · UCLA 34.4
ARIZ 28 · UCLA 25
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARIZ -2.5
1 → UCLA
CloseARIZ -1.5
1 pt toward UCLA
Total
Open154.5
▼ 1
Close153.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
ARIZ -125 · UCLA +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARIZ -2.5 · closed ARIZ -1.5 · moved 1 toward UCLAmodel ARIZ -5
model ARIZ -5
Opened 154.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 1 downmodel 153.5 matches the line
model 153.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-0 100% | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% | |
| 3-0 100% | 0-3 0% | 1-2 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
ARIZ 6–3 UCLAARIZ leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · ARIZ 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024-25 | UCLA 57 vs ARIZ 54 | ARIZ -3.5 | UCLA W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | ARIZ 88 @ UCLA 65 | UCLA +9.5 | ARIZ W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | UCLA 71 @ ARIZ 77 | ARIZ -17.5 | UCLA W |
| Mar 11, 2022-23 | ARIZ 61 vs UCLA 59 | UCLA +1.5 | ARIZ W |
| Mar 4, 2022-23 | ARIZ 73 @ UCLA 82 | UCLA -4.5 | UCLA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arizona
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
FLA
W 93-87
+9.5
7
vs
UTU
W 93-67
−7.5
11
vs
NAU
W 84-49
−0.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
FLA
W 93-87
+15.5
7
vs
UTU
W 93-67
−2.5
11
vs
NAU
W 84-49
−30.5
over 1under 2avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCLA
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
0-3
0% covers · avg −17.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
EWU
W 80-74
−23.5
7
vs
PEPP
W 74-63
−18.5
10
vs
WGA
W 83-62
−9.5
covered 0didn’t cover 3avg −17.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
EWU
W 80-74
+4.5
7
vs
PEPP
W 74-63
−15.5
10
vs
WGA
W 83-62
−1.5
over 1under 2avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arizona
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs N Arizona84–49
- Wvs Utah Tech93–67
- Wvs Florida93–87
3 days since their last game.
UCLA
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs West Georgia83–62
- Wvs Pepperdine74–63
- Wvs E Washington80–74
4 days since their last game.