Worthington Arena · at Montana St
Closing line
MTST -7.5✓ DEN covered by 9.5
MTST -7.5✓ DEN covered by 9.5Closing total146.5Over by 1.5
 DEN | This season | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 0-1 |
| 2-0 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 2-0 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DEN 72–80 MTST · ✗ MTST (75%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 38 | 37 | 75 |
| MTST | 38 | 35 | 73 |
1st half: DEN 38, MTST 38 (tied). The model had MTST by 4.5 and a total of 71.3 (actual 76).
Team stats
| DEN | MTST | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-55 58% | Field goals | 30-61 49% |
| 5-10 50% | 3-pointers | 8-28 29% |
| 6-10 60% | Free throws | 5-7 71% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 24 9 off |
| 9 | Assists | 10 |
| 3 | Steals | 11 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 50 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| DEN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Kinsey F | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Jeremiah Burke F | 39 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 9-13 | 2-3 |
| Carson Johnson G | 37 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 8-16 | 2-4 |
| Gabe Oldham F | 32 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Julius Rollins G | 20 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shaun Wysocki F | 19 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Zane Nelson G | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Josh Lee G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kaden Holdbrook, Trajan Thompson, Didier Maleng, Corleone Dandridge, Loch Cunningham, Devin Carney, Ian Motta
| MTST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Miller G | 32 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 6-8 | 4-5 |
| Cavin Holden G | 30 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Chris Hodges F | 26 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Christian King F | 24 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-7 |
| Patrick McMahon G | 20 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Davian Brown G | 25 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 7-12 | 1-6 |
| Jaden Steppe F | 20 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Jeremiah Davis G | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Waka Mbatch F | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Howie Keene, James Steward, Seth Amunrud, CJ Purdie, Grayson Gaddis, Calum Rutherfurd
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMTST -7.5
no move
CloseMTST -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open149.5
▼ 3
Close146.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
DEN +280 · MTST -360
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MTST -7.5 · unchangedmodel MTST -7.5 matches the line
model MTST -7.5 = line ✓
Opened 149.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 3 downmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MTST -7.5 | MTST -7.6 | MTST +0.1 | L DEN covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 152.3 | Over 5.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | DEN 72.3 · MTST 80 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MTST -4.5 | PK |
| 1H total | 71.3 | 76 |
| 1H projected score | DEN 33.4 · MTST 37.9 | DEN 38 · MTST 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DENlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% |
| MTSTlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
DEN 1–0 MTSTDEN leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · DEN 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024-25 | MTST 78 @ DEN 79 | DEN +5.5 | DEN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Denver
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +10.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
SEA
SEAL 73-84
+2.5
6
@
WASH
WASHL 70-84
+13.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SEA
SEAL 73-84
+20.5
6
@WASH
WASHL 70-84
+0.5
over 2under 0avg +10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Montana St
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +13.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ COLO | L 78-84 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@COLO
COLOL 78-84
+5.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@COLO
COLOL 78-84
+13.5
over 1under 0avg +13.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Denver
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Washington70–84
- L@ Seattle U73–84
3 days since their last game.
Montana St
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Colorado78–84
6 days since their last game.