Broadview Arena · at Buffalo
Closing line
BUF -3.5✓ BUF covered by 3.5
BUF -3.5✓ BUF covered by 3.5Closing total147.5Over by 11.5
 GB | This season | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GB 75–79 BUF · ✓ BUF (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB | 28 | 48 | 76 |
| BUF | 32 | 51 | 83 |
1st half: GB 28, BUF 32 (BUF by 4). The model had BUF by 2.0 and a total of 71.9 (actual 60).
Team stats
| GB | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-47 51% | Field goals | 25-47 53% |
| 11-27 41% | 3-pointers | 6-16 38% |
| 17-21 81% | Free throws | 27-41 66% |
| 27 4 off | Rebounds | 31 9 off |
| 16 | Assists | 10 |
| 3 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 25 | Fouls | 21 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| GB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Ruedinger G | 35 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Marcus Hall F | 35 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 3-7 | 1-5 |
| C.J. O'Hara G | 33 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 6-10 | 0-3 |
| Mac Wrecke G | 21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Rob Stroud F | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caden Wilkins F | 24 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 7-9 | 6-8 |
| Dontrell Hewlett G | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| LeBron Thomas G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Maruan Cicic C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Vukasin Todorovic F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ramel Bethea F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Keegan Van Kauwenberg, Justin Allen, Trey Schachter, Brady Fitzgerald, Josh Hines
| BUF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Batchelor G | 32 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Ryan Sabol G | 30 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Angelo Brizzi G | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Daniel Freitag G | 22 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 4-9 | 3-4 |
| Tim Oboh F | 14 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Derrick Talton Jr. G | 30 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 9-13 | 0-2 |
| Ezra McKenna F | 18 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kyle Jones G | 17 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Mikhali Pocknett F | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matas Buteliauskas, Daniel Shao, Omar Migues-Hibeljic, Aleksa Vlajic, Evan Romano
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBUF -6.5
3 → GB
CloseBUF -3.5
3 pts toward GB
Total
Open153.5
▼ 6
Close147.5
Down 6 since the open
Moneyline
GB +160 · BUF -190
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BUF -6.5 · closed BUF -3.5 · moved 3 toward GBmodel BUF -3.5 matches the line
model BUF -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 153.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 6 downmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BUF -3.5 | BUF -3.6 | BUF +0.1 | W BUF covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 153.6 | Over 6.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | GB 75 · BUF 78.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | BUF -2.0 | BUF -4.0 |
| 1H total | 71.9 | 60 |
| 1H projected score | GB 35 · BUF 36.9 | GB 28 · BUF 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GBlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% |
| BUFlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Green Bay
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −12.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ KU | L 51-94 | +30.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@KU
KUL 51-94
−12.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −12.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@KU
KUL 51-94
−7.5
over 0under 1avg −7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Buffalo
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +10.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs USM | W 85-79 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUSM
USMW 85-79
+2.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUSM
USMW 85-79
+10.5
over 1under 0avg +10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Green Bay
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Kansas51–94
4 days since their last game.
Buffalo
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Southern Miss85–79
4 days since their last game.