Fifth Third Arena · at Cincinnati
Closing line
CIN -29.5✓ GAST covered by 19.5
CIN -29.5✓ GAST covered by 19.5Closing total151.5Under by 13.5
 GAST | This season | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GAST 58–87 CIN · ✓ CIN (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GAST | 30 | 34 | 64 |
| CIN | 39 | 35 | 74 |
1st half: GAST 30, CIN 39 (CIN by 9). The model had CIN by 17.3 and a total of 67.8 (actual 69).
Team stats
| GAST | CIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-57 37% | Field goals | 25-62 40% |
| 6-20 30% | 3-pointers | 7-31 23% |
| 16-18 89% | Free throws | 17-26 65% |
| 35 8 off | Rebounds | 40 14 off |
| 13 | Assists | 15 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 22 | Fouls | 19 |
| 14 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| GAST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jelani Hamilton G | 35 | 26 | 3 | 4 | 6-15 | 2-7 |
| Joah Chappelle F | 30 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Christian Beam C | 25 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Sherrard F | 25 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Malachi Brown G | 20 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Enoh F | 22 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Micah Tucker G | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Ayouba Berthe G | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Chris Jones G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| James Cooper F | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jakai Newton, Kwame Tanic, Trey Scott, Clash Peters, Manos Koveos
| CIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerr Kriisa G | 30 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2-10 | 1-7 |
| Baba Miller F | 30 | 24 | 11 | 1 | 8-9 | 1-1 |
| Moustapha Thiam C | 29 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 4-11 | 0-2 |
| Day Day Thomas G | 28 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 4-10 | 4-7 |
| Shon Abaev F | 19 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler McKinley F | 17 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jordi Rodriguez-Stegemeijer G | 17 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Sencire Harris G | 15 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Keyshuan Tillery G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Celestine G | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Halvine Dzellat, Jalen Haynes, Lucas Atauri, Bryson Buckingham, Grant Darbyshire
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCIN -25.5
4 → CIN
CloseCIN -29.5
4 pts toward CIN
Total
Open149.5
▲ 2
Close151.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
GAST +4000 · CIN -100000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CIN -25.5 · closed CIN -29.5 · moved 4 toward CINmodel CIN -28.5
model CIN -28.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 2 upmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CIN -29.5 | CIN -28.7 | GAST +0.8 | W GAST covered |
| Total | 151.5 | 144.8 | Under 6.8 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | GAST 58 · CIN 86.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CIN -17.3 | CIN -9.0 |
| 1H total | 67.8 | 69 |
| 1H projected score | GAST 25.3 · CIN 42.5 | GAST 30 · CIN 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GASTlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% |
| CINlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Georgia St
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −18.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −29.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ EMU | L 49-71 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 149.5 | U 120 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@EMU
EMUL 49-71
−18.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −18.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@EMU
EMUL 49-71
−29.5
over 0under 1avg −29.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Cincinnati
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +13.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WCU | W 94-63 | -22.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+8.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+13.5
over 1under 0avg +13.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Georgia St
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ E Michigan49–71
4 days since their last game.
Cincinnati
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs W Carolina94–63
4 days since their last game.