Purcell Pavilion · at Notre Dame
Closing line
ND -21.5✓ ND covered by 10.5
ND -21.5✓ ND covered by 10.5Closing total147.5Over by 24.5
 DETM | This season | ND |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DETM 65–84 ND · ✓ ND (95%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DETM | 31 | 39 | 70 |
| ND | 44 | 58 | 102 |
1st half: DETM 31, ND 44 (ND by 13). The model had ND by 11.5 and a total of 70.1 (actual 75).
Team stats
| DETM | ND | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-67 42% | Field goals | 36-69 52% |
| 9-30 30% | 3-pointers | 14-32 44% |
| 5-10 50% | Free throws | 16-22 73% |
| 33 8 off | Rebounds | 44 11 off |
| 15 | Assists | 19 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 20 |
Players
| DETM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Nadeau G | 27 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 9-14 | 6-11 |
| Tyler Spratt G | 25 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Nate Johnson G | 20 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Orlando Lovejoy G | 17 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| London Maiden F | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Xavier Istomin-Monroe C | 17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Lance Stone G | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Keshawn Fisher G | 15 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Ayden Carter G | 14 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Je'kel Cotton G | 13 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Jared Lary G | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Legend Geeter F | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Ryan Kalambay F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zak Abdalla G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| ND | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Shrewsberry G | 29 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 5-8 | 5-8 |
| Sir Mohammed G | 23 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Carson Towt F | 21 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Garrett Sundra F | 20 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Markus Burton G | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cole Certa G | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-8 | 2-7 |
| Logan Imes G | 20 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Brady Koehler F | 15 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Kebba Njie F | 15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Ryder Frost F | 13 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Matthew MacLellan F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brady Stevens G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Devine, Tommy Ahneman, Jalen Haralson
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenND -19.5
2 → ND
CloseND -21.5
2 pts toward ND
Total
Open148.5
▼ 1
Close147.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
DETM +1800 · ND -6000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ND -19.5 · closed ND -21.5 · moved 2 toward NDmodel ND -19
model ND -19
Opened 148.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 downmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ND -21.5 | ND -19.1 | DETM +2.4 | L ND covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 149.7 | Over 2.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | DETM 65.3 · ND 84.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ND -11.5 | ND -13.0 |
| 1H total | 70.1 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | DETM 29.3 · ND 40.8 | DETM 31 · ND 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DETMlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
| NDlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Detroit Mercy
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −10.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +19.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UIC | L 71-91 | +9.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UIC
UICL 71-91
−10.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UIC
UICL 71-91
+19.5
over 1under 0avg +19.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Notre Dame
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +20.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIU | W 89-67 | -15.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIU
LIUW 89-67
+6.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIU
LIUW 89-67
+20.5
over 1under 0avg +20.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Detroit Mercy
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UIC71–91
4 days since their last game.
Notre Dame
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Long Island89–67
4 days since their last game.